@misc{huenicke_contribution_of_2010, author={Huenicke, B.}, title={Contribution of regional climate drivers to future winter sea-level changes in the Baltic Sea estimated by statistical methods and simulations of climate models}, year={2010}, howpublished = {journal article}, doi = {https://doi.org/10.1007/s00531-009-0470-0}, abstract = {A statistical downscaling approach is applied to the output of five different global climate model simulations driven by twenty-first century future scenarios of greenhouse gas concentrations. The contribution of sea-level pressure (SLP) and precipitation changes to regional future winter sea-level changes is estimated for four Baltic sea-level stations by establishing statistical relationships between sea level as predictand and large-scale climate fields as predictors. Using SLP as predictor for the central and eastern Baltic Sea level stations, three climate models lead to statistically significant twenty-first century future trends in the range of the order of 1–2 mm/year. Using precipitation as predictor for the stations in the southern Baltic coast all five models lead to statistically significant trends with a range of the order of 0.4 mm/year. These numbers are smaller, but of the order of magnitude as the predicted global sea-level rise.}, note = {Online available at: \url{https://doi.org/10.1007/s00531-009-0470-0} (DOI). Huenicke, B.: Contribution of regional climate drivers to future winter sea-level changes in the Baltic Sea estimated by statistical methods and simulations of climate models. International Journal of Earth Sciences. 2010. vol. 99, no. 8, 1721-1730. DOI: 10.1007/s00531-009-0470-0}}